As expected, undefeated juggernaut Alabama was ranked first, followed by Clemson, LSU and Notre Dame. CFP committee chairman Rob Mullens pointed out on ESPN that UCF hasn't played a team with a winning record. Another of those wins is over No. 5 MI.
Although the Sooners are in a good spot, it doesn't appear they control their own destiny. Four teams, and only one Power-5 conference in the playoff. This year's College Football Playoff and the rankings at the top will likely be remembered for a long time. That same formula gave LSU just a 12 percent chance. We know they've got one of the best (defensive lines) in the country, if not the best in the country.
Currently, the SEC has two teams in the Top 4 with one closely on the outside looking in. Those scenarios would hand the Cougs three quality wins, albeit with two coming against the same Utah team. Winning the SEC with just one loss nearly guarantees Georgia gets in, but (like last year) without having faced Alabama in the regular season. So, the Irish go undefeated - they're in. Texas A&M Aggies (5-3)19. The second-to-last rankings had Florida State at fourth, behind three teams that had already lost.
Here's a scenario that could be put to rest this weekend when Alabama travels to Baton Rouge. LSU, blemished at 7-1 but with a dominant victory over Georgia, got the third slot.
In 2015 and '16, two teams in the committee's first four made the playoff. The Crimson Tide travel to No. 5 LSU (7-1, 4-1).
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Sound familiar? That's exactly what happened to Alabama last season after a loss to Auburn.
This means, as suspected, that the Buckeyes could win the Big Ten at 12-1 and not make the playoff.
Notre Dame has three wins against teams with winning records and beat Stanford handily at home. Iowa State is unranked in both. You stack their resume up, and you can see that the way it would work for the committee, UCF would have been in that 10-to-13 band, so that's where they end up. In three of the four games between ranked teams this week, the line is nine points or higher in the latest Week 10 college football odds. As ESPN's Joey Galloway put it on the air: "Ohio State and MI will be the biggest Northwestern fans on the planet". The committee looked deeply at the games these teams have played and were impressed with their schedules. Rutgers is just a terrible football team.
As far as Notre Dame is concerned, this is just confirmation that all they need to do is win to get in.