NOAA releases the 2018-2019 Winter Outlook


It's also worth noting that the forecasters base their predictions on probability and don't say how much precipitation the USA will get or how hot temperatures will be.

While the current spell of unseasonably cold weather might have you fearing the worst this winter, the NOAA's Climate Prediction Center's outlook from December through February is anticipating a milder winter for much of the USA, according to their forecast released Thursday. States from the Pacific Northwest through the Northern Plains and into the Northeast are likely to have above-average temperatures, the NOAA reported.

Based on NOAA's Winter Outlook, they're predicting a 70% to 75% chance of El Nino forming this fall and lasting through the winter.

"Up in ME the forecast is actually what we call "equal chances", which means there's no tilt in those odds, so it's just as likely to be a wetter-than-normal winter as a drier-than-normal winter", says Halpert.

In the valley of the Tennessee, the OH valley and mid-Atlantic States (NJ, NY, MD and PA), the temperature will be or on the secondary level or above.

NOAA's Winter Outlook indicates our region is looking at a 33% to 50% chance for warmer-than-normal conditions.

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Precipitation is expected to be above normal across the southern tier of the United States, extending up into the Mid-Atlantic.

Wetter-than-average conditions are favored across the southern tier of the USA, and up into the Mid-Atlantic. The greatest chance for warmer than normal winter weather is in Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, Montana, northern Wyoming and western North Dakota. Northern Florida and southern Georgia have the greatest odds for above-average precipitation this winter. The WYMT Weather team will have their 2018-2019 Winter Outlook for Eastern Kentucky on Tuesday, November 20th.

NOAA's seasonal outlooks give the likelihood that temperatures and precipitation will be above-, near- or below-average, and how drought conditions are expected to change, but the outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations.

Anyone hoping for a lot of snow is likely to be disappointed more often than not this winter.

The Farmer's Almanac said that for its winter outlook, the temperatures are going to be cold with "plenty of snow".