Latest updated guidance from the National Hurricane Center brings TD 14 to hurricane strength before it reaches land somewhere along the Northern Gulf.
Another warm day is on the way Monday with a few showers and storms developing, mainly in the afternoon or evening. The system was moving northwest at 6 miles per hour.
The disturbance in the Caribbean is now a Tropical Depression.
On the NHC official forecast track, the center of the tropical cyclone will move through the Yucatan Channel on Monday morning and then across the eastern Gulf of Mexico late Monday through Wednesday.
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Exactly how much rain is to be determined, based on how where this storm goes and what shape it's in after moving through the aforementioned area of wind shear. This storm could make landfall anywhere from Louisiana to Florida. As this area drifts slowly north through the weekend into early next week, shear will begin to lessen, and it's possible a tropical depression or weak tropical storm will form. This storm does not pose a threat to Florida or the US, but swells generated by Leslie continue to create life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
The next intermediate advisory will be issued at 7 p.m. CDT.
For SWFL, the center of the storm will likely stay well to our west, meaning we'll avoid direct impacts. It has to get through quite a bit of wind shear, before it enters the Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a 20% chance of tropical development within the next 2 days, increasing to 30% chance within the next 5 days. We need to pay attention to this system.
The hurricane centre advised residents along the northeastern and central U.S. Gulf Coast to monitor the storm's progress.