Tropical Depression Six Off Africa: Early East Coast Surf Outlook


The National Hurricane Center is now predicting a 10 percent chance that this tropical wave develops into a tropical depression or tropical storm as it moves away from Tampa Bay toward the central Gulf Coast.

We are still seeing the GFS bring this up to hurricane strength while the Euro tops this out at tropical storm strength. We are not anticipating any impacts for us, or the USA, but shifts in the forecast track are certainly possible. Expect increased rain chances with best chances along the coast in the morning, then into our inland areas early afternoon and then along the I-75 corridor in the late afternoon and early evening.

Infrared satellite loop over the tropical disturbance near the island of Hispaniola on Friday morning.

The situation is far different off the coast of Africa, where a tropical cyclone is expected to develop within the next 24 hours near the Cabo Verde Islands.

Located about 235 miles east-south-east of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands, the potential hurricane already has maximum sustained winds of 35 mph and is moving west at 13 mph.

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Most of the forecast models call for significant intensification, yet they all agree in forecasting the system to move to the north and out into the open Atlantic somewhere between 40 and 50 degrees West by one week from today.

On average, the sixth named storm forms on September 6.

Another area to watch, a tropical wave is moving through the Greater Antilles. Once it reaches the Gulf of Mexico, conditions for intensification could improve.

As if on cue, the tropical Atlantic has cranked up a couple of tropical systems as the annual hurricane season moves into its peak period.

After Florence, the next two names on this year's list of storms are Gordon and Helene.